IS THIS RIGHT? – AT 9:24 A.M. ET:  Once again we caution readers about accepting the results of one poll, but the trend in the experienced Rasmussen poll must be noted.  From Rasmussen: 

The full results from Sunday night’s debate are in, and Donald Trump has come from behind to take the lead over Hillary Clinton.

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.

Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters. Monday’s survey was the first following the release of an 11-year-old video showing Trump discussing women in graphic sexual detail but did not include any polling results taken after the debate. All three nights of the latest survey follow Sunday’s debate.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has dropped slightly to six percent (6%) support, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Four percent (4%) still like some other candidate in the race, and another four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Eighty-four percent (84%) now say they are certain how they will vote in this year’s presidential election, and among these voters, Trump posts a 49% to 46% lead over Clinton. Among voters who say they still could change their minds between now and Election Day, it’s Clinton 40%, Trump 37%, Johnson 19% and Stein four percent (4%).

COMMENT:  If the trend reflected by Rasmussen is correct, Trump is rising again in the polls, probably as a result of his solid debate performance, and perhaps also a sense by the American public that he is being treated unfairly.  Too much piling on.  Too many seemingly coordinated stories meant, not to report the news, but to bring him down.

But it is really too early to base too much on one poll ...although the Los Angeles Times tracker is also showing Trump slightly ahead. 

The final presidential debate will be held Wednesday, October 19th, six days from today.  It will be critical.  Another good performance by Trump can upset the race. 

October 13,  2016